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The Odds against Evolution Being True



In the beginning God created the heavens and the earth. (Genesis 1:1)


This is the most important foundational statement about life that has been or could ever have been made. Even our own Declaration of Independence depends upon it.

We hold these Truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty, and the Pursuit of Happiness.

Genesis 1 records the fact that a special creation took place in which God created everything out of nothing (Hebrew: bara, Genesis 1:1,21,27). After that, He made each form of plant and animal life “according to its kind” (Genesis 1:1:11,21,24).

One either believes in the special, Divine creation of the universe OR in some form of an evolutionary process in which living matter arose out of dead matter.

If one believes in the latter, it is good to be reminded of the amazing degree of faith exercised by holding that position.

Here is an older quotation which appeared in the April 15, 1982 issue of the New Scientist magazine: “We do not understand even the general features of the origin of the genetic code … the origin of the genetic code is the most baffling aspect of the problem of the origins of life and a major conceptual or experimental breakthrough may be needed before we can make any substantial progress.” 

Years ago our church had a visitor from Washington D.C., a physicist from M.I.T. He gave the following illustration to me after the 1st service:

“Put a tea kettle filled with water on a stove, and without turning on the heat, what are the odds that a spontaneous combustion process of energy will cause the water to boil?” [Answer: one in 10 followed by 36 zeroes].

“Place logs in a fireplace, then saturate them with alcohol; left alone, what are the chances that spontaneous combustion will occur?

“Let’s say you decide to gamble with a friend … his $5.00 for your $1.00. We’ll flip a coin (odds are 1:2 that you win) … flip it again, and it has to go your way twice in a row to win (odds are 1:4 for that to happen). If you repeat this process for just ten flips of the coin, the odds are 1:1024 that you will win each one of the ten flips.

“Would you take that bet?  That’s only with a chance of 1:1024! What about the odds of life arising spontaneously and being formed with complexity equal to that of the genetic code?”

Yet amazingly, many people are betting their eternity on evolution being true. They are hoping against hope and sound reasoning that there is no God, and there is no special and specific purpose for the universe and world in which we live.

The odds are staggering against evolution being true … in reality evolution is pretty much a mathematical impossibility.

For Further Review

1.  Where do you stand in the special creation vs. evolution debate? Why do you hold to your position?

2.  Have you ever considered the mathematical improbability of evolution being true? How does this strengthen your faith in God?

3.  How does this lesson help you answer these questions: Where do I come from? Who made me? Why am I here? Is there an ultimate purpose for my life?

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